This phenomenon is known as the optimism bias, and it is one of the most consistent, prevalent, and robust biases documented in psychology and behavioral economics.
We also expect to live longer than objective measures would warrant, overestimate our success in the job market, and believe that our children will be especially talented. The take-home message here is that we are actually programmed to notice the good in life and pay attention to the positive, which ties in nicely with the recent rise of positive psychology. For example, we underrate our chances of getting divorced, being in a car accident, or suffering from cancer. In this short piece, we covered the Pollyanna Principle and described the human tendency to focus on the positive. Optimism Test PANAS Questionnaire PERMA PERMA Meter The Workplace PERMA Profiler Satisfaction with Life Scale Primals Inventory Primals Inventory Abridged Primals Inventory Micro Stress & Empathy Questionnaire Subjective Happiness Scale Transgression Motivations Questionnaire VIA Survey of Character Strengths VIA. Humans, however, exhibit a pervasive and surprising bias: when it comes to predicting what will happen to us tomorrow, next week, or fifty years from now, we overestimate the likelihood of positive events, and underestimate the likelihood of negative events. Given the importance of these future projections, one might expect the brain to possess accurate, unbiased foresight. Inferences about what will occur in the future are critical to decision making, enabling us to prepare our actions so as to avoid harm and gain reward. The ability to anticipate is a hallmark of cognition.
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